Work

The need for multi‐method extreme event attribution

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: Over the past 20 years, extreme event attribution has developed rapidly, providing a wide range of methods to attribute weather events – from unconditioned probabilistic to strongly conditioned storyline approaches. Advancing the field now requires combining results from multiple methods, allowing more robust conclusions drawn from various lines of evidence. Yet, doing so remains challenging. We call for closer interaction within the attribution field to develop approaches with method comparison in mind. We highlight the need to explicitly define the research questions answerable by specific methods, and to clearly outline the limitations of each method.

Source: Weather

DOI: 10.1002/wea.7779

Authors: Vikki Thompson, Shirin Ermis, Marylou Athanase

Institutions: Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, University of Oxford, Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung

Language: English

Topic: Climate variability and models

Subfield: Global and Planetary Change

Field: Environmental Science

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDG: Climate action

Open Access status: hybrid

Estimated APC paid: $1,880