Work

Long-Term Clinical Outcomes of Ulcerative Colitis with Concurrent Endoscopic and Histologic Remission

Year: 2025
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: Background and Objectives: Therapeutic goals for ulcerative colitis (UC) have expanded beyond symptom control to include mucosal and histological healing. However, the long-term prognostic value of achieving both targets remains uncertain, particularly in Asian populations. This study aimed to evaluate long-term outcomes and relapse predictors in patients with UC who achieved both endoscopic and histologic remission. Materials and Methods: This prospective observational study consecutively enrolled adults with clinically inactive UC who attained endoscopic remission (Mayo endoscopic subscore = 0) and histologic remission (Nancy index ≤1) between June 2014 and May 2018. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data—including fecal calprotectin—were collected. Clinical relapse was defined as a Mayo score increase >3 or initiation of systemic corticosteroids or biologics. Patients were followed longitudinally for a median of 55 months (minimum 12 months), and relapse risk was evaluated using Kaplan–Meier and univariate Cox regression analyses. Results: A total of 41 patients were included (mean age 54 ± 14 years; 56% male). The median follow-up was 54 months (range 17–78). Ten patients (24.4%) relapsed during follow-up, with cumulative relapse rates of 9.8%, 10.3%, 15.8%, and 24.1% at 12, 24, 36, and 48 months, respectively. Kaplan–Meier analyses demonstrated significantly higher relapse in patients with non-E1 disease (E2 + E3, p = 0.021), immunomodulator use (p = 0.008), and biologics use (p = 0.007). In univariate Cox regression, immunomodulator (HR 4.7, 95% CI 1.3–16.4, p = 0.02) and biologics use (HR 4.9, 95% CI 1.4–17.5, p = 0.01) were significant predictors of relapse, whereas disease extent showed only a non-significant trend with wide CIs. Baseline fecal calprotectin was higher in the relapse group (182 ± 370 μg/g vs. 108 ± 164 μg/g) but was not statistically significant. Conclusions: Approximately one-quarter of UC patients who achieved dual remission relapsed within 4 years. These findings highlight the limitations of using dual remission as the sole therapeutic endpoint and underscore the need for additional prognostic factors. High-risk subgroups—such as those with extensive disease or prior exposure to advanced therapies—may require closer monitoring and individualized strategies. Future multicenter studies integrating clinical, endoscopic, histologic, and biomarker data are needed to refine relapse prediction.
Source: Medicina
Language: English
Subfield: Genetics
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,654
OpenAlex ID: W4415815898
FWCI: 1.104
Cites: 20
Cited by: 2
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