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Adaptive Finite State Projection with Quantile-Based Pruning for Solving the Chemical Master Equation

Year: 2025
Type: preprint
Abstract: We present an adaptive Finite State Projection (FSP) method for efficiently solving the Chemical Master Equation (CME) with rigorous error control. Our approach integrates time-stepping with dynamic state-space truncation, balancing accuracy and computational cost. Krylov subspace methods approximate the matrix exponential, while quantile-based pruning controls state-space growth by removing low-probability states. Theoretical error bounds ensure that the truncation error remains bounded by the pruned mass at each step, which is user-controlled, and does not propagate forward in time. Numerical experiments on biochemical systems, including the Lotka-Volterra and Michaelis-Menten and bi-stable toggle switch models.
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W4415976909
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