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Association between sodium–chloride difference at ICU admission and 30-day mortality: a retrospective cohort study of critically ill adults

Year: 2025
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: BACKGROUND: The difference between serum sodium and chloride concentrations (SCD) is a simple parameter reflecting the interplay between major extracellular electrolytes. We investigated whether SCD assessed upon intensive care unit (ICU) admission holds predictive value for short-term outcomes in critically ill adults. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 1,726 consecutive patients admitted to a mixed (medical-surgical) ICU (median age 67 years; 70.7% male). The relationship between admission SCD and 30-day mortality was first assessed using restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression to explore non-linearity. To define potential thresholds, cut-off values were evaluated using ROC analysis with the Youden index. Cox proportional hazards models were then applied. Internal validation was performed using bootstrap resampling with 1,000 iterations. RESULTS: RCS analysis revealed a non-linear association between SCD and mortality, with risk increasing markedly at lower values. Both spline modeling and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis consistently indicated 30 mmol/L as the threshold of prognostic significance. Patients with SCD < 30 mmol/L (n = 343; 19.9%) had significantly higher 30-day mortality compared with those with SCD ≥ 30 mmol/L (55.7% vs. 44.3%, p < 0.001). In Cox regression, SCD < 30 mmol/L was associated with increased mortality (unadjusted HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.20-1.66; p < 0.001). This relationship remained robust after adjustment for age, SOFA score, lactate, and major comorbidities (adjusted HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.24-1.77; p < 0.001) and was confirmed by bootstrap validation. CONCLUSIONS: Low SCD at ICU admission was independently associated with higher 30-day mortality. This routinely available parameter, reflecting the sodium-chloride interplay, may support early risk stratification in this group of patients.
Language: English
Subfield: Epidemiology
Field: Medicine
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,190
OpenAlex ID: W4416122252
FWCI: 0.621
Cites: 37
Cited by: 1
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