Work

Modeling the impact of traditional remedies on the transmission dynamics of Mpox

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: Mpox, a re-emerging zoonotic disease, presents a significant public health challenge, particularly in regions with limited access to modern healthcare. The widespread use of traditional remedies in affected communities shapes health-seeking behaviors and can influence adherence to medical guidelines. While previous studies have modeled Mpox transmission, they largely ignore the impact of sociocultural practices on disease dynamics. This study advances the field by developing a mathematical model that simultaneously incorporates human and rodent populations and explicitly accounts for behavioral factors governing the choice between traditional remedies and modern medical care. The basic reproduction number ( R 0 ) is computed using the next-generation operator and used in the stability analysis of disease-free and endemic equilibria. Analytical and numerical results indicate that traditional remedies can reduce transmission when applied in ways that support timely medical care, but their unregulated or delayed use may prolong the infectious period, impeding effective disease control. Sensitivity analysis identifies the transmission rate from untreated infectious humans to susceptibles ( β 1 ) as the most influential parameter on R 0 . The findings reveal that integrating sociocultural practices into public health strategies is essential to enhance Mpox prevention and control. By integrating epidemiological modeling with sociocultural behaviors, this study provides a novel framework for evaluating Mpox control strategies, offering actionable insights for developing culturally responsive health policies that combine traditional healing with scientifically validated interventions, thereby enhancing the effectiveness of disease prevention and control.

Source: Scientific African

DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e03085

Authors: Fadhili M. Mrope, Nkuba Nyerere, Aziza J. Iddi, Geoffrey K. Karugila

Institution: Sokoine University of Agriculture

Language: English

Topic: Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models

Subfield: Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

Field: Medicine

Domain: Health Sciences

SDG: Good health and well-being

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $590