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Dynamics of Cycling Adoption: A Model with Social Influence

Year: 2025

Type: conference-paper

Abstract: To address the consequences of climate change, policies promoting green transportation, particularly cycling, are gaining importance. To address this need, this paper introduces a novel compartmental model to analyze the dynamics of bicycle adoption. We demonstrate the existence and global asymptotic stability of a single equilibrium point using order-preserving monotonic systems theory. Furthermore, we establish the system’s identifiability, ensuring unique parameter estimation from observed trajectories. A case study of Stockholm, Sweden, showcases the model’s ability to accurately characterize cycling adoption dynamics, highlighting its potential for informing sustainable transportation strategies.

Source: Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Decision & Control, including the Symposium on Adaptive Processes

DOI: 10.1109/cdc57313.2025.11312240

Authors: Eduardo S. Rodriguez-Canales, Paolo Frasca, Alain Y. Kibangou

Institutions: Institut polytechnique de Grenoble, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies du numérique, GIPSA-Lab, DANCE: Dynamique et contrôle des réseaux, Université Grenoble Alpes, University of Johannesburg

Language: English

Topic: Urban Transport and Accessibility

Subfield: Transportation

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDGs: Sustainable cities and communities, Climate action, Industry, innovation and infrastructure

Open Access status: green

OpenAlex ID: W4416747712

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