The Rise of Machines: Algorithmic Trading and Stock Price Crash Risk
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: As algorithmic trading (AT) has become a dominant component in financial markets, it is important to understand its benefits and costs. Theory predicts that traders with a short horizon overweigh short-term information relative to firm fundamentals. We argue that because algorithmic traders typically have very short horizons, AT likely motivates managers to focus on short-term earnings and hoard bad news, thus leading to higher crash risk. Consistent with our prediction, we find that AT is positively related to future stock price crash risk. We also find that AT is associated with managers' opportunistic financial reporting and disclosure decisions and that the effect of AT on crash risk is more pronounced when managers have greater ability or incentives to withhold bad news. We further validate our findings using an instrumental variable analysis and the SEC's 2016 Tick Size pilot program as a quasi-natural experiment. Overall, our results suggest AT is positively related to firm-specific stock price crash risk, which could potentially have devastating effects on shareholder welfare.
Authors: Anwer S. Ahmed, Yiwen Li, Andrew McMartin, Nina Xu
Language: English
Subfield: Accounting
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W4416971542
