Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Impact-based Forecasts and Warnings (IbFWs) are crucial for disaster risk reduction; however, most systems focus on single hazards, overlooking the complex interactions of multi-risk events. This siloed approach can underestimate impacts, especially when hazards occur simultaneously or sequentially. Developing multi-risk IbFW systems requires interdisciplinary collaboration, improved modelling, more impact data and clearer terminology. Analysis of historical disasters shows that multi-hazard events cause disproportionate economic losses. Advancing IbFW systems demands pragmatic innovation, robust datasets, and inclusive strategies to better reflect real-world hazard complexity.
Source: npj natural hazards.
Authors: Darren Lumbroso, Christopher J. White, Emma Brown, Seshagiri Rao Kolusu
Institutions: HR Wallingford, University of Strathclyde, Met Office
Language: English
Subfield: Sociology and Political Science
Field: Social Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,090
OpenAlex ID: W4417520912