Year: 2020
Type: conference-abstract
Abstract: Psychological investigations of human belief revision have revealed a robust finding the order effect. Generally speaking, the order effect refers to the phenomenon in which the final belief is significantly affected by the temporal order of information presentation. Normative theories, such as Bayes Theorem, has no room for the order effect since it simply violates commutativity. Consequently, the order effect is generally regarded as yet another bias in human reasoning. Several theories have been proposed to explain the order effect. Wang proposes a different approach to the order effect in human belief revision. The probability/confidence distinction predicts that the order effect pattern may change with different levels of experience. As a result, the order effect tends to diminish and disappear. It is found that participants showed significant recency effects at the beginning of the experiment when their experience about the environment is little.
Source: Psychology Press eBooks
Authors: Hongbin Wang, Jiajie Zhang, Todd R. Johnson
Institution: Texas Medical Center
Language: English
Subfield: General Decision Sciences
Field: Decision Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W58456062