Modelling the Role of Multiple Global Change Drivers on Future Range Shifts in a Tropical Biodiversity Hotspot
Year: 2025
Type: conference-paper
Abstract: In a rapidly changing world, climate and land cover change are driving shifts in plant distributions globally. Predicting plant species ranges into the future is a conservation priority, especially in areas of high endemism and geographic isolation that exacerbate vulnerabilities to adaption. Moreover, plants like Calophyllum are experiencing high rates of mortality linked to a newly identified vascular wilt pathogen. We mapped the current distribution of C. paniculatum and its wilt, before predicting its range under multiple future climate and land cover scenarios. Our goal: to disentangle the multifaceted threats to plant species in a tropical Biodiversity Hotspot.
Authors: Underwood, Emma, Walford, Nigel, Mulligan, Mark, Brown, Kerry
Institutions: Kingston University London, King's College London
Language: English
Subfield: Ecological Modeling
Field: Environmental Science
Domain: Physical Sciences
SDG: Life on land
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W6893271007
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