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A typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Traditional clustering methods based on source-load information struggle to accurately describe the time-sequenced operational characteristics of renewable energy power systems. To address this, a typical scenario generation method for renewable energy power systems based on time-sequenced operational simulations is proposed, considering both the AC power flow distribution and startup-shutoff strategies for units. Firstly, a unit combination model that incorporates AC power flow constraints is constructed, and a two-stage solution strategy based on second-order cone relaxation is adopted to perform 8,760-hour time-sequenced simulations in the multi-period optimal power flow model. Secondly, based on data characteristics such as renewable energy output levels, line congestion conditions, and unit startup-shutoff from the time-sequenced simulation results, an improved K-means algorithm is employed to extract typical scenarios. Finally, the validity of the proposed method is verified through a case study, providing a reference for renewable energy power system planning and scheduling.
Authors: PENG Zhuyi, SONG Shan, XU Sixuan, GU Kanghui, GE Yi, WANG Quanquan, SUN Wentao
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W6907216019
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