An Evaluation of Ad Valorem Equivalent Tariffs: Evidence from a Partial Equilibrium Model
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: Economists often replace specific tariffs with their ad valorem equivalents, or AVEs, when calibrating models. However, the computation of AVEs under a counterfactual tariff schedule is impossible without assuming that unit prices do not change, and this assumption results in misleading estimates if unit prices do change. In this paper, I set up a partial equilibrium trade model that is able to include both specific and ad valorem tariffs; I then compute counterfactual equilibria both with specific rates from the data and the AVEs of those rates, and the difference between these estimates provides an indicator of AVEs’ reliability as a measure. I perform this analysis under two counterfactual scenarios: one in with all specific tariffs increase by ten percent and one in which twenty percent of imports become subject to column 2 tariffs instead of the lower permanent normal trade relations (PNTR) tariffs. Results indicate very little difference between import quantity estimates computed with specific rates and estimates computed with AVEs, suggesting that AVEs are a reliable substitute for specific tariff rates when doing economic modeling.
DOI: 10.71476/pab3-pf38
Author: Phillips, Paul
Institution: United States International Trade Commission
Language: English
Topic: Global trade and economics
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W6940036308
FWCI:
Cites:
Cited by:
Related to: