Work

A Deal Doomed to Fail? The Fragile Prospects of a New Nuclear Agreement

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: This article analyzes the renewed U.S.–Iran nuclear negotiations under Donald Trump’s second presidency, arguing that both sides are engaged less in genuine diplomacy than in strategic posturing. While indirect talks resume in Muscat, Washington demands full nuclear dismantlement, while Tehran insists on its right to enrichment—positions fundamentally at odds. It explores how mistrust, asymmetrical power dynamics, and domestic pressures shape both parties’ behavior. Trump’s dual messaging and Iran’s invocation of resistance narratives suggest that negotiations are aimed more at managing perceptions than achieving durable outcomes. The article concludes that any potential agreement will be weak, short-lived, and more symbolic than substantive.

Source: University of Groningen research database (University of Groningen / Centre for Information Technology)

Author: Ozkan, Mazlum

Language: English

Topic: Nuclear Issues and Defense

Subfield: Political Science and International Relations

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Peace, justice, and strong institutions

Open Access status: green

OpenAlex ID: W7018318952

FWCI:

Cites:

Cited by:

Related to: