Year: 2024
Type: article
Abstract: The latest Berkeley IGS Poll completed online among 3,045 likely voters across California, finds Vice President Kamala Harris comfortably ahead of former President Donald Trump 57% to 35%, with each polling close to their respective shares of their party's electorate in this deeply blue state.Another 3% are favoring other candidates, while 5% undecided.Harris draws nearly universal support from Democrats, liberals, and voters describing themselves as pro-choice or progressive in politics.Trump holds similarly large leads among Republicans, conservatives, and voters identifying with MAGA, or who describe themselves as evangelical Christians or libertarian in politics.There is a large gender gap in preferences, with females backing Harris by 33 points, while men favor her by just 12 points.Harris draws broad support from the state's black voters (72%) and Asian American voters (66%) but receives somewhat lower levels of support from Latino voters (54%).Among whites, preferences divide along educational lines, with 65% of those with a college degree backing Harris, while among non-college graduates it's just 45%.Regionally, Harris holds big leads in the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles County, and the Central Coast, while Trump runs even or is narrowly ahead in Orange County, the Inland Empire, the Central Valley and in the North Coast/Sierras region.Voters offer widely differing views of the political leanings of each candidate, as most Californians consider Harris a liberal and Trump a conservative.However, Trump voters are much more likely than Harris voters and undecided voters to see her as "very liberal."Voters were presented with eleven candidate attributes and asked whether each applied more to Harris or Trump, both, or neither.Responses align closely to voting preferences, with Harris backers and Trump backers ascribing the positive attributes to their favored candidate and the negative attributes to their opponent.Because of the poll's large sample size, the responses of undecided voters can also be examined, and their opinions are more varied.For example, undecided voters choose Harris as the candidate who will do more for working people, who can better unite the country and who cares about the needs of people like you.However, undecided voters see Trump as being better in managing the nation's economy, better in managing the nation's foreign policy, has the right vision for the country's future, and has the toughness needed to be president.On the other hand, undecided voters are far more likely to believe Trump is too extreme and poses a risk to the nation, and perhaps because of this, they hold much more negative opinions of him overall than they do of Harris.
Author: DiCamillo, Mark
Institution: University of California, Berkeley
Language: English
Field: Social Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7052315648
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