Análisis bibliométrico de Publicaciones Académicas Indexadas en Crossref.org para Planificación Estratégica. Informe 04-CR (50/138)
Year: 2025
Type: book
Abstract: This paper investigates the long-term academic trajectory of Strategic Planning to resolve the enduring debate over its classification as a management fad versus a foundational management practice. Employing a longitudinal bibliometric analysis, we examine a comprehensive dataset of scholarly publication metadata indexed in Crossref.org, spanning from 1950 to 2023. The study utilizes a multi-faceted time-series methodology, including trend-cycle decomposition, spectral analysis to identify periodicities, and predictive modeling to forecast future relevance. Our analysis reveals that the academic discourse surrounding Strategic Planning exhibits a sustained, long-term growth trend, a pattern fundamentally inconsistent with the ephemeral lifecycle characteristic of management fashions. We identify significant, regular pluriannual cycles of interest (notably at 4 and 6.7 years), which appear to correlate with broader economic waves and technological innovation patterns. Furthermore, historical peaks in scholarly attention coincide with major macroeconomic, technological, and geopolitical disruptions, underscoring the tool's reactive resilience. A significant resurgence in academic focus since 2018, coupled with forecasts predicting stabilization at a high level of prominence, confirms its ongoing revitalization. These findings provide robust empirical evidence for the deep and persistent institutionalization of Strategic Planning within formal management theory. The study contributes to management fashion theory by offering a clear quantitative demarcation for an enduring practice and provides practitioners with evidence of the tool's sustained strategic importance, particularly in navigating environmental uncertainty.
Authors: Anez, Diomar, Anez, Dimar
Language: English
Subfield: Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
Field: Decision Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7080297581