Forecasting the Observable Rates of Gravitationally Lensed Supernovae for the PASSAGES Dusty Starbursts
Year: 2025
Type: preprint
Abstract: More than 60 years have passed since the first formal suggestion to use strongly-lensed supernovae to measure the expansion rate of the Universe through time-delay cosmography. Yet, fewer than 10 such objects have ever been discovered. We consider the merits of a targeted strategy focused on lensed hyperluminous infrared galaxies -- among the most rapidly star-forming galaxies known in the Universe. With star formation rates (SFRs) $\sim {200 - 6000}~\textrm{M}_\odot~\textrm{yr}^{-1}$, the $\sim 30$ objects in the Planck All-Sky Survey to Analyze Gravitationally-lensed Extreme Starbursts (PASSAGES) are excellent candidates for a case study, in particular, and have already led to the discovery of the multiply-imaged SN H0pe. Considering their lens model-corrected SFRs, we estimate their intrinsic supernova rates to be an extraordinary ${1.8 - 65}~\textrm{yr}^{-1}$ (core-collapse) and ${0.2 - 6.4}~\textrm{yr}^{-1}$ (Type Ia). Moreover, these massive starbursts typically have star-forming companions which are unaccounted for in this tally. We demonstrate a strong correlation between Einstein radius and typical time delays, with cluster lenses often exceeding several months (and therefore most favorable for high-precision $H_0$ inferences). A multi-visit monitoring campaign with a sensitive infrared telescope (namely, JWST) is necessary to mitigate dust attenuation. Still, a porous interstellar medium and clumpy star formation in these extreme galaxies might produce favorable conditions for detecting supernovae as transient point sources. Targeted campaigns of known lensed galaxies to discover new lensed supernovae can greatly complement wide-area cadenced surveys. Increasing the sample size helps to realize the potential of supernova time-delay cosmography to elucidate the Hubble tension through a single-step measurement, independent of other $H_0$ techniques.
Source: arXiv (Cornell University)
Authors: Kamieneski, Patrick S., Windhorst, Rogier A., Frye, Brenda L., Yun, Min S., Harrington, Kevin C., Mork, Simon D., Foo, Nicholas, Garuda, Nikhil, Pascale, Massimo, Pampliega, Belen Alcalde, Carleton, Timothy, Cohen, Seth H., Diaz, Carlos Garcia, Jansen, Rolf A., Jimenez-Andrade, Eric F., Koekemoer, Anton M., Lowenthal, James D., Noble, Allison, Pierel, Justin D. R., Vishwas, Amit, Wang, Q. Daniel, Yoon, Ilsang
Language: English
Subfield: Astronomy and Astrophysics
Field: Physics and Astronomy
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: green
Funders: National Science Foundation, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Space Telescope Science Institute, National Radio Astronomy Observatory, Nuclear Safety and Security Commission, Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute, National Astronomical Observatory of Japan, Goddard Space Flight Center, National Institutes of Natural Sciences
Awards: G1055883707, G4096137220, G433322167, G4518818167, G58316358, G6273510985, NEXT GENERATION FRONTIER STUDIES OF GALAXY FORMATI ON AND EVOLUTION WITH NEXT GENERATION SPACE TELES, G6608474652, G6722835988, G6909262500, THE PROPOSAL SEEKS TO ACCOMPLISH SEVERAL INVESTIGATIONS TO SIMULATE THE PERFORMANCE OF JWST DEEP FIELD SURVEYS, VARYING AS-YET-POORLY CHARACTERIZED P, G767601387, G8210229802, IN 2002 WE WERE GRANTED 110 HOURS GTO TIME FOR A JWST MEDIUM-DEEP SURVEY. WITH HST AND SPITZER EXPERIENCE 14 YEARS LATER WE REDEFINE THIS SURVEY TO IMAGE~18 NIRCAM FIELDS IN 7 FILTERS TO AB<~ 29 29.3 MAG YIELDING 140 000 GALAXIES AT 0<~ Z<~ 12 15 IN 0.05 DEG2 (>~ 30 HUDFS!). WE WILL STUDY GALAXY ASSEMBLY + SUPER-MASSIVE BLACK-HOLE GROWTH AT Z 0 7 INCLUDING OBJECT VARIABILITY ON MONTHS YEARS TIMESCALES. WE STUDY THE REIONIZING POPULATION AT Z 2 8 AND USE THE BEST LENSING TARGETS TO OPTIMIZE OUR STUDY OF FIRST LIGHT OBJECTS AT Z 10 15. OUR SCIENCE GOALS ARE: 1. GALAXY ASSEMBLY; 2. SUPER-MASSIVE BLACK-HOLE GROWTH; 3. REIONIZATION; 4. FIRST LIGHT; 5. STUDY THE BEST LENSING CLUSTERS TO FIND JWST OBJECTS. MAP&REMOVE STRAYLIGHT GRADIENTS AND QUANTIFY SAMPLE COMPLETENESS IN RANDOM FIELD&CLUSTER IMAGES: WE WILL: A) USE HUDF AND HFF DATA TO SIMULATE MAP AND REMOVE A RANGE OF STRAYLIGHT AMPLITUDES AND GRADIENTS THAT COULD AFFECT RANDOM DEEP FIELDS (DFS) AND CLUSTER FIELDS WITH JWST; B) DETERMINE ACCURATE COMPLETENESS CORRECTIONS VS. GALAXY FLUX SIZE WAVELENGTH AND LOCATION IN JWST DFS OF VARIOUS DEPTH AND IN CLUSTER FIELDS WITH THEIR KNOWN GALAXY CLUSTER+ICL FOREGROUND; C) DETERMINE THE CLUSTER SELECTION FUNCTIONS BY FOLDING LENSING MAPS WITH SIMULATED BACKGROUND IMAGES YIELDING SIMULATED LENSED IMAGES AND THEIR COMPLETENESS CORRECTIONS FOR LENSED SOURCES WHICH WE SHOW CAN BE FACTORS 2 3; AND D) MODEL COSMIC VARIANCE IN HIERARCHICAL MODELS AT Z 6 15. WE WILL CORRECT THE LFS FOR THESE COMPLETENESS FUNCTIONS. WE WILL THEN USE A BAYESIAN CODE TO DETERMINE THE OPTIMAL SET OF LF EVOLUTION PARAMETERS FROM THE AVAILABLE JWST DATA TO QUANTIFY HOW GALAXIES ASSEMBLED SINCE Z<~ 15., G8684856318
OpenAlex ID: W7084446645
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