Work

Mexico 2024-2030 - The Structural Crossroads

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: This essay projects Mexico's evolution in the medium term (2024-2030) by analyzing three interdependent critical vectors: institutionalized political concentration, economic reconfiguration under structural constraints, and hybrid militarized security. The central thesis is that the country is heading towards a low-intensity equilibrium: an electorally legitimized hyper-presidentialism, anemic growth sustained by informal social resilience, and a security model that manages, but does not resolve, violence. This analysis is based on the triangulation of primary and secondary sources, including legal reforms, official macroeconomic series, and crime incidence data.

Source: Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17387921

Author: Vassallo, Miguel

Institution: Universidad Autónoma de Zacatecas "Francisco García Salinas"

Language: English

Topic: Politics and Society in Latin America

Subfield: Political Science and International Relations

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Peace, justice, and strong institutions

Open Access status: green

OpenAlex ID: W7092364189

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