Intelligent Trading Systems: An Integrated Framework for Adaptive Execution and Machine Learning-Driven Market Simulation
Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: The exponential growth of retail investors in Indian equity markets has created a critical need for accessible, data- driven decision support systems. This paper presents a novel hybrid machine learning platform that combines Random For- est classification, technical analysis, and sentiment analysis to generate actionable trading signals for National Stock Exchange (NSE) listed securities. The system addresses the limitations of pure machine learning approaches, which are prone to overfitting in financial time-series prediction, by integrating domain-specific technical indicators and news sentiment into a weighted ensemble model. The proposed methodology employs Random Forest classi- fiers trained on 25 technical indicators including RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, Stochastic Oscillator, and volume-based metrics, calculated from five years of historical OHLCV data for 15 NSE large-cap stocks. A hybrid signal generation algorithm combines ML predictions (40% weight), technical analysis scores (40% weight), and sentiment analysis (20% weight) to produce BUY/SELL/HOLD recommendations with confidence levels. The system achieves 62.3% average prediction accuracy on test data, outperforming pure ML models (58.1%) and pure technical analysis (54.7%) by 4–8 percentage points. The full-stack implementation integrates the ML pipeline into a production-ready web application featuring paper trading sim- ulation with 100,000 virtual capital, real-time portfolio analytics including Sharpe ratio and maximum drawdown calculations, interactive candlestick charts with technical indicator overlays, and community-driven features for collaborative learning. The platform demonstrates practical deployment of machine learning models in financial applications while maintaining sub-500 ms inference latency for real-time predictions.
Author: Prof.Rupali Mhajan, Prof. Keshav Tambre, Paritosh Nevase, Yash Pardeshi, Lalit Khavale, Soham moholkar, Omkar Kakde, Om kore , Arjun Kaulage
Language: English
Field: Decision Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7108744208
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