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Modeling the Effect of Contractual Jobs on Unemployment With a Case Study of the Indian Agnipath Scheme

Year: 2025

Type: article

Abstract: ABSTRACT Contractual employment offers a relevant avenue for reducing the unemployment period within a labor force. Additionally, they offer valuable work experience to individuals, thereby enhancing their chances of securing regular employment. In this article, we introduce a four‐dimensional stage‐structured model, taking the service period of contractual jobs as a delay parameter. This approach enables us to examine the impact of contractual employment on the dynamics of unemployment. The proposed model is examined using the stability theory of delay differential equations, revealing that the system has a unique equilibrium that is globally stable under certain conditions for any value of the delay parameter. Furthermore, we analytically derive specific conditions under which an increase in the contractual job tenure either increases or decreases unemployment. Additionally, we validate our analytical findings numerically by using India's unemployment‐employment data and considering the employment opportunities provided under the Indian Agnipath scheme as an illustrative example of contractual employment.

Source: Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences

DOI: 10.1002/mma.70405

Authors: A. K. Misra, Mamta Kumari, D. R. Sahu

Institution: Banaras Hindu University

Language: English

Topic: Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models

Subfield: Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health

Field: Medicine

Domain: Health Sciences

SDG: Decent work and economic growth

Open Access status: bronze

Funder: Council of Scientific and Industrial Research, India