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Strengthening Fiscal Capacity and Investment Spending for Enhanced Public Financial Performance

Year: 2025
Type: article
Abstract: This study uses empirical evidence to examine the effect of fiscal capacity and investment spending on subnational financial performance in ‎a decentralized public finance system that relies heavily on transfers. The panel data and estimation strategy yielded three key results. Firstly, ‎it is evident that revenue capacity, when owned in-house, is consistently linked to favourable financial outcomes. This underscores the pivotal role that revenue autonomy plays in fostering incentives for financial prudence and sustainable budget management. Secondly, invest-‎ment spending has been shown to positively impact fiscal performance, indicating that public investment can serve as an effective long-term ‎stabilizer for fiscal management, provided that there is sufficient institutional capacity. Thirdly, intergovernmental transfers have a detriental effect on financial performance, significantly undermining the fiscal stimulus of own-source revenue. This suggests soft budget con-‎constraints and distorted fiscal incentives under dependent transfers. Transfers do not have a significant impact on the relationship between ‎capital expenditure and investment effectiveness. This suggests that investment effectiveness is more influenced by internal managerial com-‎competencies than financial form characteristics. The results demonstrate that subnational fiscal performance is influenced by a number of factors. These include internal fiscal capacity, investment decisions, and the incentive properties of intergovernmental fiscal arrangements. The ‎paper makes a valuable contribution to the literature by explaining how transfer dependence affects the efficiency of local fiscal tools and by ‎providing relevant policy implications for building up fiscal resilience in centralized systems.
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W7117378454
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