Work

A data-driven framework for estimating remaining driving range in cargo electric vehicles

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: The increasing shift to sustainable transportation has fueled growing interest in electric vehicles, including the key issue of estimating the remaining driving range with high precision. The study develops a data-driven approach to predict the cargo electric vehicle’s remaining driving range that incorporates machine learning based estimation. Real-world operational data: a Musoshi Pop-Up Mini electric cargo vehicle was tested under various load and speed characteristics on a 2 km campus route, providing a possibility of high-resolution modeling of energy consumption patterns. After systematic preprocessing with feature engineering and segment-wise aggregation, seven regression algorithms: ElasticNet, Support Vector Regression, Random Forest, LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost, and ExtraTrees were optimized with Optuna-based Bayesian hyperparameter tuning and exhaustively compared in terms of RMSE, MAE, and R². Amongst these, the SVR model RMSE equal to 2.37, MAE equal to 1.75, and R² equal to 0.892 demonstrated the best performance and outperformed other ensemble and gradient boosting models. The obtained results prove that data-driven models, can reliably assess energy consumption and range for cargo EVs, which would ensure the safer and more reliable deployment of electric mobility systems.

Source: Energy Informatics

DOI: 10.1186/s42162-026-00618-9

Authors: Mrugank Gandhi, Archana Y. Chaudhari, Rahesha Mulla

Institution: Symbiosis International University

Language: English

Topic: Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure

Subfield: Electrical and Electronic Engineering

Field: Engineering

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDGs: Industry, innovation and infrastructure, Affordable and clean energy

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $1,490