Work

Voting in Ruins: Examining the Effect of a Tornado on Voting Behavior Toward Coalition Government Parties

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: ABSTRACT The electoral effects of natural disasters have gained increasing importance in recent research. This paper analyzes the impact of an unprecedentedly strong tornado on the electoral results of coalition government parties in the 2021 Czech general election. We find a positive effect on support for the main governing party, ANO, which played a leading role in the disaster relief program. However, the smaller incumbent party, ČSSD, which had less involvement in relief policies, did not experience a similar electoral advantage. Our study suggests that the electoral impact of disasters varies among coalition parties.

Source: Economics and Politics

DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70032

Authors: Jakub Jusko, Peter Spáč

Institution: Masaryk University

Language: English

Topic: Electoral Systems and Political Participation

Subfield: Political Science and International Relations

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDG: Peace, justice, and strong institutions

Open Access status: hybrid

Estimated APC paid: $3,240