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Reply to “Interpreting projected gastrointestinal cancer burden in Africa: The case of liver cancer”

Year: 2026
Type: letter
Abstract: Reply to "Interpreting projected gastrointestinal cancer burden in Africa: The case of liver cancer"We appreciate Njei and Al-Ajlouni for their insightful comments regarding our article on global gastrointestinal cancer projections and for highlighting the critical distinction between age-standardized rates (ASRs) and the absolute burden of liver cancer in sub-Saharan Africa. 1 We strongly concur that favorable trends in age-standardized incidence rates can paradoxically coexist with a rapidly expanding absolute disease burden.As reported in our study using the GLO-BOCAN database, Africa is projected to experience the largest increases in both incidence and mortality for gastrointestinal cancers by 2050 among six World Health Organization regions. 1 This divergence in comparison with decreasing ASRs is primarily driven by the region's unique demographic transition-specifically its rapid population growth and aging population structure-which threatens to outpace gains in reducing age-specific risks. 2 Njei and Al-Ajlouni correctly note that although vaccination efforts against hepatitis B and improvements in viral hepatitis treatment are reducing ASRs, these interventions alone are insufficient to curb the absolute rise in cases.Neonatal vaccination programs take
Source: Cancer
Language: English
Subfield: Oncology
Field: Medicine
Open Access status: bronze
OpenAlex ID: W7127066817
Cites: 5
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