An Explicit Representation Method for Operational Reliability Constraints in Multi-Energy Coupled Low-Carbon Distribution Network
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Multi-energy coupled low-carbon distribution networks (MEC-LCDNs) face growing risks from extreme weather and high-order contingencies. Traditional deterministic criteria (e.g., N-1) often overlook these low-probability, high-impact events, while existing simulation-based probabilistic methods suffer from excessive computational burdens and a lack of intuitive visualization. To address these challenges, this paper proposes an explicit representation method for MEC-LCDN operational reliability constraints based on the probabilistic reliability region (PRR). This approach transforms the abstract probabilistic reliability criterion—loss of load probability (LOLP)—into a visualizable geometric space. Specifically, a fast contingency screening technique (FCST) is developed to identify a minimal set of boundary scenarios that anchor the target reliability threshold. Subsequently, complex probabilistic constraints are decoupled into deterministic N-k security constraints under these boundary scenarios, enabling the analytical construction of the PRR boundary. A case study demonstrates that the proposed method reduces the number of required contingency scenarios by over 90% and slashes computation time from 78.8 s to 3.1 s compared to traditional N-k truncation methods. Furthermore, the method accurately quantifies the system’s total supply capability (TSC) at 44.501 MW while providing intuitive visualizations of reliability boundaries that satisfy stringent LOLP criterion.
Source: Energies
DOI: 10.3390/en19040904
Language: English
Subfield: Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
Field: Engineering
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,137
Award: G5958630707
OpenAlex ID: W7128427582
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