Bayesian Inference of Hybrid Star Properties from Future High-precision Measurements of Their Radii
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Future high-precision X-ray and gravitational-wave observations of neutron stars (NSs) are expected to constrain NS radii with uncertainties as small as σ ≃ 0.1 km. Such unprecedented precision offers a unique opportunity to extract new information about the nature and equation of state (EOS) of supradense matter in NS cores. Using mock radius data with uncertainties ranging from σ = 1.0 to 0.1 km, together with a flexible meta-model NS EOS that allows for a first-order hadron–quark phase transition, we perform a Bayesian statistical analysis to assess the impact of radius measurements on EOS constraints. We find that high-precision radius measurements, particularly for massive NSs, significantly tighten constraints on the hadron–quark transition density ρ t , the quark matter mass fraction in NS cores, and several parameters characterizing the EOS of supranuclear hadronic matter, although the degree of improvement depends on the assumed prior range of ρ t . In contrast, even with the highest precision considered, NS radii—including those of massive stars—remain largely insensitive to the stiffness of quark matter, independent of the measurement accuracy or the prior range adopted for ρ t .
Source: The Astrophysical Journal
Language: English
Subfield: Astronomy and Astrophysics
Field: Physics and Astronomy
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $4,499
Awards: DETERMINATION OF HIGH-DENSITY SYMMETRY ENERGY THROUGH COVARIANCE ANALYSES OF ISOVECTOR OBSERVABLES IN CENTRAL HEAVY-ION REACTIONS AT FRIB, G2844644069, CUSTIPEN: CHINA-U.S. THEORY INSTITUTE FOR PHYSICS WITH EXOTIC NUCLEI, G4824475238, G5877773096, G6530281798, G7132787336, G7153629388, G8225239124, G8597328236, G9000120985
OpenAlex ID: W7129048440
