Distinct long-term neurological trajectories and their predictors in cerebral venous sinus thrombosis: a latent class mixed model analysis
Year: 2026
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: Background The long-term neurological recovery of patients with cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVST) exhibits significant heterogeneity, and the mechanisms underlying these distinct trajectories remain poorly understood. Objective This study aimed to identify distinct long-term trajectories of functional outcome in CVST patients and to investigate their baseline predictors. Methods In a longitudinal cohort of 127 CVST patients with complete follow-up data, we employed latent class mixed models (LCMM) to analyze repeated measures of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) over time. The optimal number of trajectory classes was determined using established information criteria. Multivariable logistic regression was then used to identify baseline factors independently associated with class membership. Results A two-trajectory model best characterized the heterogeneity in long-term outcomes. Class 1 (the “Poor-Recovery” Class, n = 66, 52%) was characterized by older age, poorer venous collateral circulation, higher D-dimer levels, more severe initial brain parenchymal changes, and a slower, incomplete functional recovery. Class 2 (the “Favorable-Recovery” Class, n = 61, 48%) consisted of younger patients with better collateral circulation and a rapid, near-complete recovery. Multivariable analysis confirmed that increasing age [odds ratio (OR): 1.11 per year, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.06–1.18, p = 0.0001] was an independent risk factor, while a higher venous collateral circulation score (indicating better collateral function; OR: 0.255 per point, 95% CI: 0.108–0.540, p = 0.0008) was a strong protective factor against belonging to the “Poor-Recovery” class. Conclusion CVST patients follow one of two distinct long-term functional trajectories, which are predominantly driven by age and the status of the venous collateral circulation. These findings provide a mechanism-based framework for prognosis and highlight the potential for early risk stratification, paving the way for more personalized patient management.
Source: Frontiers in Human Neuroscience
Authors: Wei Ye, Qin Zhang, Xiaoyu Chen
Language: English
Subfield: Neurology
Field: Medicine
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,801
OpenAlex ID: W7130513015
