Work

Multiparameter Sensitivity Analysis of Farm-Level Greenhouse Gas Emission Decision Support Tool DecarbFarm Using Morris and Sobol Methods

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: Addressing climate change necessitates coordinated efforts across multiple sectors, with agriculture representing a significant source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This requires sophisticated mitigation strategies at the farm level. Digital decision support tools (DSTs) tailored for this purpose play a crucial role in accelerating farm-level decarbonization. Ensuring the reliability and accuracy of these DSTs mandates thorough model robustness validation. This study validates a farm-level GHG accounting and decarbonization DST using Sobol and Morris global sensitivity analyses to evaluate output robustness and to identify key input parameters critical for reliable mitigation planning. Both sensitivity analysis methods provide a comprehensive assessment of the tool’s robustness and highlight parameters most influencing farm-level GHG emission outcomes. Results show consistent outcomes across sensitivity approaches, reinforcing confidence in the tool’s application for emission reduction planning. The sensitivity analysis results indicate that the tool delivers reliable outcomes across various sensitivity analysis methods, thereby enhancing confidence in its suitability for decarbonization planning. Furthermore, the findings of this study provide a methodological foundation for future advancements and expanded use within the agriculture sector. This supports the DST’s effectiveness in prioritizing mitigation strategies and planning emission reduction pathways at the farm scale, while providing a transparent template to guide future tool improvements and broader agricultural applications.

Source: Sustainability

DOI: 10.3390/su18042140

Authors: Katrina Muizniece, Jovita Pilecka-Ulcugaceva, Inga Grinfelde

Institution: Latvia University of Life Sciences and Technologies

Language: English

Topic: Sustainable Agricultural Systems Analysis

Subfield: Environmental Chemistry

Field: Environmental Science

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDGs: Climate action, Zero hunger

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $2,896