Work

Optimal Joint Scheduling and Forecasting of Photovoltaic and Wind Power Generation Based on Transformer-BiLSTM

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: Addressing the challenge of coordinated dispatch between wind/solar and thermal power in new energy grids, this research proposes a thermal power unit output prediction method based on a Transformer-BiLSTM hybrid deep learning model. First, a simulated annealing algorithm optimizes the output configuration of solar thermal power plants to mitigate fluctuations in wind and solar combined generation. An ant colony-greedy algorithm is then integrated to determine the optimal dispatch data for thermal power units, constructing a high-quality training dataset under physical constraints. In the model design, a bidirectional long short-term memory network captures short-term temporal features, while the Transformer’s multi-head self-attention mechanism models long-term dependencies. The model innovatively incorporates the learnable positional encoding to enhance temporal awareness. Experimental results demonstrate accurate predictions, with the power constraint mechanism effectively correcting over-limit forecasts. This ensures 98.7% of predictions during low-load periods comply with unit technical specifications. Compared to existing methods, this model avoids data limitations and manual feature engineering bottlenecks through the end-to-end wind–solar–thermal mapping, providing a high-precision solution for dispatch decisions in renewable-dominated grids.

Source: Energies

DOI: 10.3390/en19071651