Work

Mapping pesticide mixtures to cancer risk at the country scale with spatial exposomics

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: Despite decades of concern over the carcinogenic potential of agricultural pesticides, toxicological studies relying on single endpoints have yet to establish a definitive link between environmental pesticide exposure and cancer in real-world contexts. Here we use an integrative spatial Bayesian framework that merges high-resolution environmental pesticide risk modelling with comprehensive cancer registry data to map pesticide-linked cancer clusters in Peru with unprecedented precision. Our process-based model, encompassing 31 key pesticide active ingredients, together with an innovative stratification of cancer cases by developmental lineage, reveals a robust spatial association between environmental pesticide exposure risk and cancer incidence. In pesticide-associated cancer hotspots, exposomic profiling of liver tissue-a primary target of chemical carcinogens-uncovers a distinct transcriptomic signature of pesticide exposure, implicating a non-genotoxic mode of action that disrupts core regulatory circuitries sustaining cell identity. Collectively, these findings strongly support a mechanistic link between pesticide exposure and cancer, challenging assumptions of human non-carcinogenicity derived from reductionist experimental models. This study redefines the exposome as a lineage-conditioned, mechanistically tractable framework and shows how complex pesticide mixtures can contribute to carcinogenic trajectories, with profound and far-reaching implications for global health policy and socio-ecological equity.

Source: Nature Health

DOI: 10.1038/s44360-026-00087-0