A Physics‐Informed Neural Network Approach to the Gannon Storm
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Extreme geomagnetic storms, such as the May 2024 Gannon event, pose significant risks to technological infrastructure, requiring robust forecasting models. Here, we apply Physics‐Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) to the Burton equation to model the storm's ring current dynamics by studying the temporal evolution of the SuperMAG SMR index during the Gannon storm. By solving the inverse problem, we determine optimal parameters for multiple solar wind‐magnetosphere coupling functions while enforcing physical consistency. We use an ensemble PINN approach with Random Fourier Features to capture high‐frequency fluctuations in the index and quantify epistemic uncertainties. Our comparative analysis reveals that physically motivated merging functions best describe the main phase energy injection, whereas electric field proxies maximize the global fit. These findings demonstrate that PINNs effectively automate model discovery and validate physical hypotheses crucial for the development of next‐generation for operational space weather forecasting tools.
Source: Geophysical Research Letters
DOI: 10.1029/2025gl121605
Authors: M. Lacal, E. Camporeale, M. Piersanti, G. Consolini
Institutions: University of Trento, University of L'Aquila, Queen Mary University of London, University of Colorado Boulder, Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Roma I, Institute for Space Astrophysics and Planetology, National Institute for Astrophysics
Language: English
Subfield: Astronomy and Astrophysics
Field: Physics and Astronomy
Domain: Physical Sciences
SDG: Climate action
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,190
OpenAlex ID: W7150929175
