The MFY Expectation Emergence Model: A Psychological Theory Natively Grown from a Pristine Self-Healing Case
Year: 2026
Type: preprint
Abstract: English version (V3.0 → V4.0 release notes) Model renaming and steady-state reconstruction: the model is renamed "MFY Expectation Emergence Model"; the steady state (W) is redefined from "coordinated outcome of three variables" to "state reading of anchor M"; the abstract is rewritten in prose style, with unified formula and table numbering. Trust-degree mechanism introduced: the underlying variable of Y-layer filtering is upgraded from "signal source" to "trust degree" (source-determined initial preset, time-weighted accumulation via consistent interaction, penetration adjudicated by a trust threshold); the §3.5 operational definition of expectation penetration and the §4.6 supplementary notes are rewritten accordingly, consistent with Papers 10 and 11. The "Y is directly generated by M" formulation established: substantive updating of Y occurs only through the full closed loop (F₁ penetrates the Y-layer as F₂, F₂ calibrates M, and the updated M generates a new Y); Proposition 3 is rewritten accordingly, with a two-condition falsification criterion and a "difficult but not impossible" boundary note. Expanded theoretical dialogue: four new structural dialogues with psychoanalysis, behaviorism, Tolman's expectancy theory, and the phenomenology of time consciousness ([46]-[55]); unified phrasing of the temporal causal directionality principle; the crash-protection period boundary clarified in seven linked passages. Chapter 5 fully upgraded: the discussions of persuasion failure, recovery pathways, and military PTSD are rewritten under the trust-degree framework; the chapter is retitled "Clinical Corollaries of Anchor Misalignment and Anchor Conflict"; a new Table 2 summarizes the case-extremity indicators. Structural slimming: the former Chapter 6 (practice guidelines), §4.5.1 (three failure modes, redundant with §3.8), and §7.2.2/§7.2.3 (paper-by-paper overviews, redundant with Appendix 1) are removed; the former Chapter 7 is condensed and renumbered as Chapter 6 "Discussion". Series synchronization and cleanup: a new Appendix 1 (overview of the twelve-paper series) and §6.2.2 (series citation protocol, three rules) are added; the term "dimension-raising" is retired; references expand from 43 to 57 with errata completed; the data availability statement is removed. Abstract This paper develops the MFY Expectation Emergence Model from an extreme case of complete collapse and full recovery of an individual's mental system without any external professional intervention, providing a unified explanatory framework for everyday internal friction, interpersonal defensive dilemmas, and clinical psychopathological phenomena, while exploring the endogenous self-organizing repair regularities of the mental system. Methodologically, the study adopts first-person deep systemic phenomenology, takes the researcher's own highly sensitive nervous system as the observation instrument, excludes external professional intervention variables throughout, and follows a closed logical loop of "clinical-evidence documentation, pattern extraction, and model abstraction" across the full 12-month self-healing cycle, in which theory construction and system repair were completed synchronously. Based on the natively generated experience of the case, the paper identifies three variables — anchor (M), direction (F), and expectation (Y) — establishes the anchor-primacy foundational hypothesis and the unified M₁→F₁→Y→F₂→M₂ transmission structure, distinguishes its steady-state, repair, and destabilization regimes under different variable-quality conditions, and proposes the temporal causal directionality proposition that "the past does not directly determine the present; what the past calibrates is future expectation." On this basis, the paper completes the formal construction of the steady-state model and the spiral-iteration model, distills the "expectation channeling and calibration" meta-intervention paradigm, and advances testable mechanistic hypotheses for phenomena including eating disorders, military PTSD, the happiness paradox, and appearance anxiety. As a pristine natural experiment stripped of external intervention, this study provides case-level empirical support for the axiom that "individuals innately possess an endogenous self-actualizing tendency," and converts it into a testable, operational middle-range theoretical framework; all core propositions are accompanied by falsification conditions (§4.7), and the framework's cross-domain explanatory power has achieved independent convergence in subsequent papers of the series.
Author: Yi, Baichen
Language: English
Subfield: Clinical Psychology
Field: Psychology
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7153340479
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