Predictive factors of permanent hypothyroidism after subacute thyroiditis: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Year: 2026
Type: review
Study designs: Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis
Abstract: Background Subacute thyroiditis (SAT) is a self-limiting thyroid inflammatory disorder, but some patients develop permanent hypothyroidism, impacting long-term health. We aimed to systematically synthesize evidence on factors associated with permanent hypothyroidism after SAT. Methods A systematic search of PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library and Web of Science was conducted up to August 2025. Randomized trials, cohort, and case-control studies evaluating predictors of permanent hypothyroidism after SAT were included. Data were extracted following PRISMA guidelines, and study quality was assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS). Random-effects models were preferentially applied given expected clinical heterogeneity, with heterogeneity quantified using I 2 and τ 2 . Results Ten studies involving 1294 patients were included. Higher free triiodothyronine (FT3) levels (mean difference = 1.85, 95% CI: 0.60–3.09; Z = 2.91, P = 0.004; I² = 0%) and positive thyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb) (OR = 2.57, 95% CI: 1.35–4.88, P = 0.004; I² = 57%, τ² = 0.13) were significantly associated with an increased risk of permanent hypothyroidism after SAT. Corticosteroid therapy was associated with a lower odds of permanent hypothyroidism compared with NSAID-based management (OR = 0.40, 95% CI: 0.23–0.70, P = 0.001; I² = 36%). Conclusions FT3, TgAb positivity and treatment modality are associated with the risk of permanent hypothyroidism following SAT. Compared with NSAID-based management, corticosteroid therapy is associated with lower odds of developing permanent hypothyroidism. These findings support early identification of high-risk patients and personalized follow-up strategies. Systematic review registration https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/ , identifier CRD420251064643.
Source: Frontiers in Endocrinology
Authors: Qianhui Cui, Meng Wang, Jingqiu Cui
Language: English
Subfield: Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism
Field: Medicine
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,801
Award: G3302649064
OpenAlex ID: W7155085593
