Work

Shallow Creep in the Leaky Stress Shadow of Locked Zones of Subduction Megathrust

Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: In some subduction zones such as Nankai, creeping of the shallow part of the megathrust in the stress shadow of deeper locked zones is detected by seafloor geodetic measurements and/or reflected by slow earthquakes (SEQs). Here we explain that shallow creep occurs in the stress shadow for two reasons: (a) prolonged afterslip and (b) a leaky stress shadow due to off‐fault elastic interseismic deformation around locked patches. Relative to the size of the locked patches, a larger shadow zone endures longer duration of afterslip and greater stress leakage. With rate‐state friction modeling, we show that the shallow creep and accompanying SEQs at Nankai likely indicate a combination of the two mechanisms. The paucity of evidence for shallow creep at Cascadia likely indicates that the shadow zones are very small or, in some areas, absent.
Language: English
Subfield: Geophysics
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,190
OpenAlex ID: W7155646907
FWCI:
Cites: 49
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