ProAdapt: A Meta-Incremental Learning Framework with Spectral-Temporal Representation Learning and Online EWC for Stock Trend Forecasting
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Stock trend forecasting remains challenging in real financial markets because data distributions evolve over time, and models trained under static settings often degrade during online deployment. Recent studies have introduced incremental and meta-incremental learning into stock forecasting, yet effective sequential adaptation remains constrained by two issues: financial multivariate time series require stronger representation modeling before downstream prediction, and repeated online updates may lead to forgetting and parameter drift. To address these issues, we propose ProAdapt, a bi-level meta-incremental learning framework for stock trend forecasting in non-stationary markets. ProAdapt contains two key components. The first is a Structural Spectral-Temporal Feature Adapter (SSTFA), which enhances financial time series representations by modeling non-uniform temporal importance and selective cross-factor interactions through adaptive soft window temporal encoding, frequency-domain structure modeling, and feature refinement. The second is online Elastic Weight Consolidation (EWC), which is incorporated into the outer-loop optimization to regularize sequential parameter updates and improve the balance between adaptation and stability. We evaluate ProAdapt on the CSI300 and CSI500 benchmarks under an incremental forecasting setting with sequential task updates. Experimental results across multiple backbones show that ProAdapt generally achieves favorable forecasting results relative to the compared baselines, with relatively clearer gains on CSI500. Additional ablation and analysis results further support the effectiveness of SSTFA and online EWC. Overall, the results suggest that combining explicit representation enhancement with stability-aware sequential updating is beneficial for incremental stock forecasting in evolving market environments.
Source: Electronics
Authors: Lele Gao, Yafei Bai, Wenjie Yao, Nan Li, Yilun Wang, Yong Hu
Institution: Jinan University
Language: English
Field: Decision Sciences
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,896
Award: G879350727
OpenAlex ID: W7156730256