Work

Current and Future Potential Distribution of the Invasive Thrips Echinothrips americanus (Terebrantia: Thripidae) Under Global Climate Change

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: ABSTRACT Echinothrips americanus is an invasive pest that parasitizes over 48 families and 106 species of plants. It has spread to more than 20 countries, causing significant economic losses to the agricultural and forestry industries. Understanding the potential distribution of invasive species under climate change is crucial for management and monitoring. Therefore, this study used the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) Model to predict the potential distribution areas of E. americanus under current and future climate scenarios based on occurrence data and environmental variables. The results showed that the Annual mean temperature (Bio1) and Precipitation of the warmest quarter (Bio18) had the greatest contributions to the current distribution model of E. americanus . The potential distribution map revealed that the primary potential distribution areas of E. americanus are concentrated in Asia, Europe, North America, South America, and Africa, with a total area of approximately 3.41 × 10 7 km 2 . Additionally, the study predicted changes in the suitable areas for E. americanus under future climate scenarios: the marginal suitable areas are expected to contract significantly, while the moderate and highly suitable areas may expand slightly. The total suitable area contracts more significantly under high‐emission scenarios (SSP370/SSP585) and more moderately under low/moderate‐emission scenarios (SSP126/SSP245). This study provides important data for understanding the potential global distribution of E. americanus and offers an early warning platform for noninfested regions that have not yet developed monitoring strategies.

Source: Ecology and Evolution

DOI: 10.1002/ece3.73636

Authors: Qingling Hu, Cuiying Wang, Xianwen Yang, Fang Wang

Institutions: Weinan Normal University, Hebei Normal University

Language: English

Topic: Species Distribution and Climate Change

Subfield: Ecological Modeling

Field: Environmental Science

Domain: Physical Sciences

SDGs: Life on land, Climate action

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $2,570