The Geometry of Privacy: A Two-Stage Analysis of Generative Membership Inference in Federated Learning
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: We study Membership Inference Attack (MIA) risk in Federated Learning through a two-stage lens that separates (i) whether a target client’s contribution is detectable after aggregation and system noise (Stage I: Signal Survival) from (ii) whether a surviving contribution induces a generative membership score change attributable to the target’s private data (Stage II: Signal Attribution). Stage I models aggregation as a target–background decomposition and shows that detectability hinges on target–background alignment, which can induce cancellation. Stage II connects the surviving target component to a generative MIA score via a local path representation and Lipschitz/smoothness bounds, avoiding architecture-specific assumptions. Our analysis reveals that the leading attribution term is governed by the alignment between the target update and the score geometry of the target data at an appropriate baseline. We validate the theoretical bounds and illustrate risk trajectories across several scenarios.
Source: Big Data and Cognitive Computing
DOI: 10.3390/bdcc10050163
Authors: Borja Arroyo Galende, Patricia A. Apellániz, Alejandro Almodóvar, Silvia Uribe, Federico Álvarez, Juan Parras
Language: English
Subfield: Artificial Intelligence
Field: Computer Science
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,172
Award: G29571876
OpenAlex ID: W7161652344
