Constructing Logic and Verifying Replicability in Tarot-Based Prediction: An Inductive Case Study Involving an 85-Day Continuous Empirical Dataset
Year: 2026
Type: preprint
Abstract: This study investigates the empirical accuracy and operational replicability of tarot protocols in daily event forecasting. The investigator conducted an 85-day consecutive self-tracking experiment, utilizing a standardized card-drawing procedure to forecast the upcoming day's fortune daily, followed by a rigorous, blinded comparative review against objective empirical events after the 24:00 temporal baseline. Based on considerations of proprietary intellectual property retention and non-saturated subsystem sampling, data samples involving the Suit of Pentacles were systematically excluded. Under the guidance of a rigid operationalized semantic coding model developed by the investigator, an extraordinary precise congruence rate of 95.79% was observed across a total sample of N = 309 empirical event trials, demonstrating profound statistical significance via binomial testing. The findings indicate that tarot forecasting does not rely on random subjective intuition or the Barnum effect; rather, it operates as a structured information-processing paradigm governed by objective logical rules that are systematically learnable and robustly replicable. This paper comprehensively discloses the standard operating procedures (SOP) and evaluative criteria of the experiment, thereby providing a solid theoretical and methodological framework for independent, third-party, double-blind replication studies. Keywords: tarot reading, predictive accuracy, empirical study, replication crisis, independent replication, parapsychology, anomalous cognition, precognition, psi phenomena, barnum effect, cold reading, preregistration, open data
Author: Huang, Ke Di
Language: English
Subfield: Social Psychology
Field: Psychology
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7162767768
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