Work

Environmental drivers of influenza A and B: causal analysis and forecasting

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: BACKGROUND: Influenza is a globally important acute respiratory infectious disease, with types A and B being the most prevalent in humans. Both circulate annually but differ in timing, duration, and severity of epidemics. Understanding the environmental factors that influence influenza A and B provides new insights into effective prevention and management. METHOD: ) between models with all variables and those restricted to important factors. RESULT: . CONCLUSIONS: consistently act as dominant environmental drivers, whereas temperature and humidity shape subtype-specific seasonal behaviors. By integrating causal analysis with predictive validation, our findings bridge mechanistic understanding and practical forecasting, providing a data-driven foundation for improved influenza prevention strategies.

Source: BMC Public Health

DOI: 10.1186/s12889-026-28134-1

Authors: Meiling Li, Sieun Lee, Sangil Kim

Institution: Pusan National University

Language: English

Topic: Influenza Virus Research Studies

Subfield: Epidemiology

Field: Medicine

Domain: Health Sciences

SDGs: Climate action, Good health and well-being

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $3,290