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Natural History and Progression of Recurrent C3 Glomerulopathy and Primary Immune-Complex Membranoproliferative GN in Kidney Transplantation

Year: 2026
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: KEY POINTS: In 134 kidney transplant recipients with recurrent C3 glomerulopathy/immune complex-mediated membranoproliferative GN, 58% lost the graft, confirming the poor long-term prognosis. Time-averaged proteinuria >1 g/d and eGFR decline >5 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year predicted higher graft failure risk. Complement profiling showed heterogeneity; autoantibody-positive patients lost grafts earlier, supporting personalized care. BACKGROUND: C3 glomerulopathy (C3G) and primary immune complex-mediated membranoproliferative GN (IC-MPGN) frequently recur after kidney transplantation and represent leading causes of graft loss. However, the natural history of recurrent disease and the prognostic value of longitudinal kidney biomarkers remain poorly defined. METHODS: We conducted a multinational, retrospective cohort study of adults and children with biopsy-proven recurrent C3G or primary IC-MPGN in the kidney allograft (2001-2023). Patients were enrolled from 48 centers across 11 countries and required ≥4 serial measurements of eGFR and proteinuria after recurrence. Longitudinal trajectories of eGFR and proteinuria and their association with graft failure were evaluated using linear mixed-effects and Bayesian joint longitudinal-survival models. Complement genetic and autoantibody testing was performed in a subset of patients. RESULTS: Of 332 eligible transplant recipients, 134 developed biopsy-proven recurrence (C3GN 60%, dense deposit disease 12%, IC-MPGN 28%). The median time to recurrence was 16 months, and 58% progressed to graft failure after a median follow-up of 62 months. Earlier recurrence, lower serum albumin, and higher histologic chronicity independently predicted failure. Joint models demonstrated that lower eGFR and higher proteinuria were dynamically associated with higher graft failure risk. Time-averaged proteinuria >1 g/d and eGFR lowering steeper than -5 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year identified high-risk trajectories. Among 71 tested patients, 34% carried pathogenic complement variants and 23% had complement-directed autoantibodies; autoantibody-positive patients experienced earlier graft failure despite similar overall failure rates. CONCLUSIONS: Recurrent C3G and primary IC-MPGN after transplantation are associated with poor long-term outcomes, substantial histologic injury, and marked biologic heterogeneity. Longitudinal eGFR and proteinuria provide powerful prognostic information and clinically meaningful thresholds (>1 g/d time-averaged proteinuria; eGFR slope steeper than -5 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 per year) refine risk stratification. Dynamic biomarkers may serve as surrogate end points, underscoring the need for prospective validation with emerging proximal complement therapies.
Institutions: Hospital Universitario 12 De Octubre, Vall d'Hebron Hospital Universitari, Hospital Universitario Virgen del Rocío, Fundación Universitaria Sanitas, Istanbul University, Innsbruck Medical University, Universität Innsbruck, Marmara University, Institute of Clinical and Experimental Medicine, Hospital Regional Universitario de Málaga, Instituto de Investigación Biomédica de Málaga, Universidad de Málaga, Hospital Universitari Germans Trias i Pujol, Hospital Universitari i Politècnic La Fe, Hospital Universitario Son Espases, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Hospital Universitario de Canarias, Hospital Clínic de Barcelona, Navarre Institute of Health Research, Clinica Universidad de Navarra, Universidad de Navarra, Bellvitge University Hospital, Hospital Universitario La Paz, Hospital Del Mar, Hospital del Mar Research Institute, Hospital Universitario Doctor Peset, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario A Coruña, Hospital Universitario Virgen de la Arrixaca, Hospital Universitario Central de Asturias, Hospital Universitario Nuestra Señora de Candelaria, Vilnius University, Vilnius University Hospital Santariskiu Klinikos, Hospital de São João, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, Hospital General Universitario de Elche, Puigvert Foundation, Complejo Hospitalario Torrecárdenas, Hospital Infantil de México Federico Gómez, Hospital Juan Ramón Jiménez, Unidade Local de Saúde de São José, Hospital de São José, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Hospital Universitario Puerta del Mar, University of Patras, General University Hospital of Patras, University of Cologne, University Hospital Cologne, University of Antwerp, Antwerp University Hospital, Hospital Universitario Puerta de Hierro Majadahonda, Hospital Universitario Insular de Gran Canaria, Complejo Hospitalario de Navarra, Complejo Hospitalario de Salamanca, Hospital Carlos Van Buren, Unidade Local de Saúde de Coimbra, Hospital de Santo António, Unidade Local de Saúde de Santo António EPE, Universidad de Cantabria, Marqués de Valdecilla University Hospital, Instituto de Investigación Marqués de Valdecilla, Hospital de Clínicas, Research Institute Hospital 12 de Octubre, Centro de Investigaciones Biológicas Margarita Salas, Universidad Complutense de Madrid
Language: English
Subfield: Nephrology
Field: Medicine
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7166537631
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Cites: 50
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