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ModusPonens at SemEval-2026 Task 11: Breaking the Plausibility Trap in LLMs via Conflict-Aware Ensembling

Year: 2026
Type: conference-paper
Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) often struggle to disentangle formal logical validity from real-world plausibility, a phenomenon known as the "belief bias".This paper describes our submission to SemEval-2026 Task 11.We frame the task as a calibration problem between "System 1" (heuristic) and "System 2" (logical) thinking.Our experiments reveal that standard neuro-symbolic interventions, such as Structural Chain-of-Thought (CoT) and Nonsense Augmentation, degrade performance in low-resource regimes due to an "abstraction penalty".Instead, we propose a Conflict-Aware Logit Ensemble.We fine-tune two variations of Qwen-2.5-14B: a standard "Believer" model and a bias-hardened "Skeptic" model trained on oversampled conflict data.By ensembling their logits via soft-voting, we achieve a Pareto-optimal balance, reducing the Total Content Effect (TCE) to 3.21 while maintaining an overall accuracy of 94.27%, resulting in a Combined Score of 39.09.
Language: English
Open Access status: hybrid
OpenAlex ID: W7166837715
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