AI in predicting the macrotrabecular-massive subtype of HCC and informing treatment selection: a multi-center and prospective validation study
Year: 2026
Type: article
Study design: Observational Study
Abstract: The macrotrabecular-massive (MTM) subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with aggressive biology and poor prognosis. We aimed to develop a CT-based artificial intelligence model (DeepCT-MTM) for the noninvasive prediction of MTM-HCC and investigate its prognostic utilities as well as biological underpinnings. A total of 3118 patients with HCC were included from 20 tertiary-care hospitals. DeepCT-MTM was developed and validated among 832 patients with early-stage HCC undergoing resection (the resection set) and extrapolated to 2286 patients (including 480 prospectively-collected ones) with intermediate/advanced-stage HCC receiving IATs. DeepCT-MTM's predictive performance for MTM-HCC was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and its prognostic values were investigated for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). In the external test cohort of the resection set, DeepCT-MTM predicted MTM-HCC with an AUC of 0.845. The DeepCT-MTM-predicted high-risk group had worse PFS and OS across all IAT sets (all P < 0.05).. DeepCT-MTM is effective for noninvasively predicting MTM-HCC and may help selecting patients who benefit from a combination of IAT with immunotherapy and anti-angiogenic therapy. However, prospective validations are warranted for these hypothesis-generating findings.
Source: npj Precision Oncology
Institutions: The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Sichuan University, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Northwest University, Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine, First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Shandong Tumor Hospital, Shandong First Medical University, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Cancer Hospital of Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing Luhe Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University, Xiamen University, Shandong Provincial Hospital
Language: English
Subfield: Hepatology
Field: Medicine
Domain: Health Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $4,090
OpenAlex ID: W7168039876
