Identifying Administrative Border Gaps in Meteorological Tracking and Cross-Hemispheric Monitoring for Identifiable Lower-Limits in Severe Forecast Storms
Year: 2026
Type: preprint
Abstract: This paper establishes an analytical public policy and atmospheric monitoring framework to address systemic data gaps caused by rigid, geographically bounded meteorological jurisdictions. While the atmosphere behaves as a borderless global fluid, state forecasting agencies naturally operate within strictly defined administrative territories, such as the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). This structural misalignment creates an institutional "sieve" where macro-scale, unclassified, or unnamed cross-equatorial atmospheric dynamics slip through operational pipelines—particularly when agency bandwidth is monopolized by a high-profile, named typhoon. By evaluating historical tracking data alongside open-source hydrodynamic wind flow models, this framework identifies three distinct typologies of cross-hemispheric data oversight. Ultimately, this research introduces a collaborative, non-adversarial methodology to utilize macro-scale fluid indicators to establish an Estimated Intensity Lower-Limit (Floor), granting disaster management authorities critical extended lead times to secure vulnerable coastal shelfs.
Author: Datahan, Zackary Vevo
Language: English
Subfield: Atmospheric Science
Field: Earth and Planetary Sciences
Domain: Physical Sciences
SDG: Climate action
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7171832866
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