Work

Political polarization in Portugal-measuring affective polarization using large language models

Year: 2025
Type: dissertation
Abstract: Political polarization has become a growing concern in Portugal as new parties reshape parliamentary competition. This thesis examines how affective polarization in the Portuguese parliament evolves over time and how it aligns with the rise and consolidation of the radical right party Chega. Using the ParlaMint-PT corpus (2015–2024), outgroup-directed hostility in parliamentary interventions is measured with a calibrated ensemble combining a fine-tuned XLM-RoBERTa classifier and an instruction-based GPT-5-Nano model. The findings indicate stable levels before 2019, a decline around 2020–2021, and a sharp increase from 2022 onward, consistent with a delayed association with Chega’s consolidation.
Author: Gerth, Simon
Language: English
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7198263598
Cites: 18
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Related to: 10