Reconstruction of fallout deposition from U.S. atmospheric nuclear tests conducted in New Mexico and Nevada
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Between 1945 and 1962, the United States conducted 101 atmospheric nuclear weapon tests in New Mexico and Nevada, dispersing radioactive fallout across the contiguous United States. We reconstruct the first 10 days of fission-product deposition from the 94 non-zero-yield tests using U.S. government test data, benchmarked particle-size distributions, and the HYSPLIT atmospheric transport model driven by high-resolution ERA5 reanalysis. Comparisons with county-level iodine-131 deposition estimates from the National Cancer Institute show good agreement for tower and surface tests and motivate refinement of the particle-size distribution parameters associated with airbursts. We aggregate per-test reconstructions into a cumulative deposition map that includes long-range fallout from the 1945 Trinity test. Trinity fallout alone reached 46 states within 10 days, consistent with contamination observed in Indiana and Iowa soon after the test. An ensemble analysis bounds meteorological uncertainty for Trinity, showing robust large-scale transport patterns despite relatively sparse 1945 observations.
Source: Scientific Reports
Authors: Sébastien Philippe, Susan L. Alzner, Gilbert P. Compo, Mason Grimshaw, Megan J. Smith
Language: English
Subfield: Global and Planetary Change
Field: Environmental Science
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,690
Funders: Ploughshares Fund, U.S. Department of Commerce, Carnegie Corporation of New York, John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, Carnegie Foundation for the Advancement of Teaching, European Commission, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Cancer Institute
Awards: G1272229657, G7198630863
OpenAlex ID: W7204081992
