Work

The Yen Carry Trade: Currency Risk and the Myth of Free Income

Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Borrow JPY at a low rate, invest in a higher-yield USD asset, and earn the difference. This is the crux of the yen carry trade. However, this entails a certain FX exposure (long USD and short JPY), and FX movements can overwhelm the carry. With a mathematical analysis and a backtest, this paper tests whether a dynamic hedge can suppress the currency risk. This paper's goal is to better understand why the textbook yen carry trade is, in reality, neither free nor stable income.
Language: English
Subfield: Finance
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7204096037
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