Quantifying Agricultural Non-Point Source Total Nitrogen Loads, Time-Lag Associations, and Management Outcomes in the Liao River Mainstream, Northeast China
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Agricultural non-point source (NPS) pollution is an important contributor to nitrogen enrichment in many northern Chinese watersheds. Using monthly water quality data collected at nine national monitoring sections along the main stem of the Liao River during 2021–2025, we estimated total nitrogen (TN) emissions from crop cultivation, livestock and poultry farming, and aquaculture using an emission coefficient method. We also used the maximum information coefficient (MIC) to examine nonlinear associations between monthly discharge and TN concentration, and described the spatial and temporal patterns of TN. TN concentrations were lower at the upstream inflow section than at the downstream estuarine section, a pattern consistent with additional inputs within Liaoning Province. The MIC analysis identified a lagged statistical association between terminal discharge and TN concentration; however, it does not establish a transport time or causal mechanism. TN concentrations declined in 2025 while pollution control measures were being implemented, although the observational record cannot attribute that decline to the measures. These results provide a basis for prioritizing monitoring and agricultural NPS control in the Liao River Basin.
Source: Water
DOI: 10.3390/w18172085
Authors: Ruiqiang Shi, Baozhan Liu, Zhen Hu, Xin Song, Yanmeng Xia, Yanqing Li
Institution: Ministry of Ecology and Environment
Language: English
Subfield: Environmental Chemistry
Field: Environmental Science
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $3,137
OpenAlex ID: W7204162287
