IntentProv-IoV: Causally Grounded Provenance for Traffic-Intent Preservation in Explainable Vehicular Security
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Internet of Vehicles (IoV) security mechanisms often classify isolated messages or assign node-level trust scores, yet these decisions do not explain whether a malicious but authenticated event has distorted the intended evolution of traffic. This paper proposes IntentProv-IoV, a causally grounded provenance framework for traffic-intent preservation in V2X environments. Traffic intent is modeled as the short-horizon collective state expected under non-adversarial conditions, and deviation is measured between predicted and observed traffic states. The framework constructs temporal provenance graphs linking vehicles, roadside units (RSUs), cooperative perception outputs, prediction nodes, and traffic-control decisions. To remove the ambiguity of marginal contribution, node contribution is formalized as an interventional effect in a structural causal model and estimated through Monte Carlo counterfactual edge-weight attenuation, with a linear sensitivity fallback for real-time edge deployment. A calibrated composite score integrates anomaly evidence, traffic-intent deviation, trust risk, and provenance contribution. The evaluation design compares IntentProv-IoV with detection, trust, blockchain trust, graph anomaly, Granger causal, structural causal, and counterfactual GNN baselines and includes predictor sensitivity, adaptive adversaries, prediction noise, packet loss, trajectory-only real-data validation, and edge overhead. Simulation-scale results indicate improved attribution precision, stronger traffic-intent deviation reduction, and edge-suitable latency. By shifting V2X security from message-level detection to causally explainable traffic-intent assurance, IntentProv-IoV provides a more accountable security objective for cooperative vehicular systems.
Source: Symmetry
DOI: 10.3390/sym18091430
Author: Eman Abouelkheir
Institution: Qassim University
Language: English
Subfield: Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Field: Engineering
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $2,896
Funder: Qassim University
Award: G6806168746
OpenAlex ID: W7204242879
