The Prediction Register
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: Every Pre-Registered Prediction in the Which Way Value Moves Program, with Falsifiers, Instruments, and Status Seventy pre-registered predictions arising from the research program stated in [which-way-value-moves](which-way-value-moves.md). One further prediction is withheld from publication (operational channel economics); its existence is recorded here so the count is honest, bringing the true total to seventy-one. This is a living document and the count rises. It opened at sixty-seven on 2026-08-27; see Revisions at the foot for what has been added since, and read the count in the Summary table rather than any sentence that repeats it elsewhere. Provenance. This paper is part of the THonly research corpus, dedicated to the public domain under CC0 1.0. The canonical version is at https://thonly.org/research/prediction-register. Its SHA-256 is 91d8034818feae2944a344cec59bc5bf1018a554b95a1369d1f1d13492ebe71f, independently timestamped to the Bitcoin blockchain via OpenTimestamps and signed under RFC 3161 by three trust authorities, one of them eIDAS-qualified. AI co-authorship is disclosed. Miss Aquarius is the consistent name used for the AI collaboration across all venues. Miss Aquarius co-authored this paper; Zenodo lists no AI tool as a creator, so Miss Aquarius is named here rather than among the creators.
Authors: Ly, Thon, Miss Aquarius
Language: English
Subfield: Finance
Domain: Social Sciences
Open Access status: green
OpenAlex ID: W7204453016
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