Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) 12 CO(2–1) Gas Dynamics in NGC 315: A Multimethod Benchmark for Supermassive Black Hole Mass Measurement
Year: 2026
Type: article
Abstract: We present Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) Cycle 7 12 CO(2−1) observations of the circumnuclear disk in NGC 315 at an angular resolution of 0 . ″ 230 × 0 . ″ 175 , improving on past measurements and resolving the sphere of influence (SOI) of the supermassive black hole (SMBH), whose mass has been estimated previously as M BH = 2.0 8 − 0.15 + 0.33 × 1 0 9 M ⊙ . The high spatial resolution and sensitivity enable robust full-cube forward modeling of the molecular gas kinematics and a direct comparison of multiple independent gas-based dynamical modeling techniques. We apply standard Bayesian codes using both Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling approaches, as well as a frequentist code to the same data set, exploring systematic uncertainties associated with the stellar mass distribution, gas surface-brightness parameterization, and disk geometry. All methods yield consistent black hole masses, indicating that the inferred M BH is not strongly method-dependent. Combining the ensemble of independent molecular-gas-based models, we derive an ensemble median black hole mass of M BH / 1 0 9 M ⊙ = 2.0 2 − 0.05 + 0.04 (stat) − 0.04 + 0.05 (sys), where the comparable contributions to the full error budget arise from modeling systematics rather than formal fitting uncertainties. Our M BH is consistent with the empirical M BH – σ ⋆ and M BH – L bulge scaling relations, and lies 32% below an independent stellar-dynamical measurement—a discrepancy we discuss in the context of systematic differences between gas- and stellar-based methods. NGC 315 serves as a benchmark for quantifying molecular gas-dynamical M BH systematic uncertainties and for future cross-comparisons of gaseous and stellar dynamical approaches.
Source: The Astrophysical Journal
Language: English
Subfield: Astronomy and Astrophysics
Field: Physics and Astronomy
Domain: Physical Sciences
Open Access status: gold
Estimated APC paid: $4,499
Funders: National Science Foundation, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Brigham Young University, California Institute of Technology, National Radio Astronomy Observatory, European Commission, National Science Council, Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute, National Astronomical Observatory of Japan, National Institutes of Natural Sciences
Award: G5549626396
OpenAlex ID: W7220952535
