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A Framework for Quantifying Diverse Multi‐Hazard Interactions to Enhance Climate Resilience

Year: 2026

Type: article

Abstract: ABSTRACT Multi‐hazard events generate impacts exceeding those of individual hazards but remain difficult to assess due to complex interactions. This study presents a generalized framework for analyzing four interaction types—multivariate, preconditioned and triggering, spatially, and temporally compounding events—across current and future climates. Combining extreme‐event detection, Bayesian copula modeling, and spatial analysis, the framework enables consistent multi‐hazard characterization beyond pairwise approaches. Applications to four European case studies reveal strong hazard dependencies and increased multi‐hazard occurrence under future climate scenarios.

Source: Climate Resilience and Sustainability

DOI: 10.1002/cli2.70063

Authors: Mohammed Sarfaraz Gani Adnan, Christopher J. White, Eleonora Perugini, Esther Hlíðar Jensen, Talfan Barnie, Natalia Castillo, Marcello Arosio, Enrico Tubaldi, Matthew James Roberts, Marco Gaetani, Younghwa Cha, Frederiek Sperna Weiland, Mario Martinelli, John Douglas

Institutions: Brunel University of London, University of Strathclyde, University of Trento, Icelandic Meteorological Office, Istituto Universitario di Studi Superiori di Pavia, Heriot-Watt University, Deltares

Language: English

Topic: Disaster Management and Resilience

Subfield: Sociology and Political Science

Field: Social Sciences

Domain: Social Sciences

SDGs: Climate action, Sustainable cities and communities

Open Access status: gold

Estimated APC paid: $2,540

Funders: Leverhulme Trust, European Commission, Ministero dell’Istruzione, dell’Università e della Ricerca, National Outstanding Youth Science Fund Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China, HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme, Natural Environment Research Council

Awards: EMERGE: Multi-hazards and emergent risks in Northern Europe's remote and vulnerable regions, G1234657840, Multi-hazard and risk informed system for Enhanced local and regional Disaster risk management, G1282765693, G22356786, G2648689218, G6311427306, Towards enhanced coordination of disaster risk management and governance through a holistic framework for multi-level interaction and communication

OpenAlex ID: W7208809391

FWCI:

Cites: 67

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